Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.148342 0.164544 0.181135 0.199351 0.218750 0.238749 0.260886
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.126354 0.148766 0.172585 0.199645 0.229394 0.260971 0.296889
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.110432 0.137214 0.166632 0.201043 0.239892 0.282110 0.331174
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.096281 0.126028 0.159747 0.200265 0.247113 0.299086 0.360613
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.087259 0.119764 0.157657 0.204273 0.259274 0.321353 0.395964
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.078061 0.112363 0.153477 0.205214 0.267436 0.338795 0.425750
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.069880 0.105434 0.149216 0.205506 0.274421 0.354619 0.453568
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.062152 0.098369 0.144190 0.204352 0.279276 0.367675 0.478016
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.056487 0.093497 0.141504 0.205741 0.286957 0.383939 0.506209
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.053319 0.091711 0.142573 0.211707 0.300201 0.406904 0.542509
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.048604 0.087349 0.139912 0.212610 0.306924 0.421837 0.569127
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.045091 0.084405 0.138914 0.215486 0.316016 0.439629 0.599246
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.041177 0.080697 0.136833 0.217040 0.323698 0.456124 0.628459
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037110 0.076397 0.133645 0.216891 0.329041 0.469657 0.654080
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.033831 0.073034 0.131562 0.218071 0.336017 0.485221 0.682281
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030273 0.068878 0.128054 0.217058 0.339939 0.496827 0.705538
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.028364 0.067307 0.128252 0.221161 0.350666 0.517169 0.739876
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.025849 0.064442 0.126307 0.222072 0.356999 0.531824 0.767067
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.023417 0.061476 0.124014 0.222328 0.362339 0.545149 0.792587
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020895 0.058069 0.120812 0.221078 0.365481 0.555531 0.814332
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.019136 0.055934 0.119503 0.222519 0.372293 0.570724 0.842301
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.018420 0.055795 0.121418 0.228790 0.385901 0.594990 0.882123
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.016805 0.053647 0.119874 0.229731 0.391948 0.609199 0.908955